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Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Trillion Dollar Bitter End


Silverfiddle Rant!

When I joined the military, I signed up for whatever they threw at me and I gave it my all.  Millions of my fellow veterans (most of whom gave much more than I did) will tell you the same.  The military on the ground is tactically brilliant.  The uniformed politicians with stars on their shoulders and the bureaucrats and politicians they serve are tragically, terminally, strategically stupid.

America's overseas failures belong to our politicians, the bureaucratic blob, and the "experts" and corporations who feed them a neverending line of bullshit.

Joe Biden's failure--which includes DOD, State and Intel Alphabet Panopticon--is a failure to clear out of Kabul in a timely, orderly and dignified fashion. 

"Sh*tshow:"  Biden administration embroiled in internal blame-shifting amid Afghanistan chaos
Washington (CNN) - Factions within the Biden administration are embroiled in a blame game over why the US government didn't act sooner to withdraw American citizens and Afghans who helped the US over two decades of war, leading to a rushed and dangerous evacuation.
I pray Biden's bumbling incompetence doesn't result in American casualties.  I won't bore you with the complex logistics (and frightening list of what can go wrong) of extracting the last US troops from Kabul Airport. Gen Milley--who along with many other bureaucrats has repeatedly lied to us about Afghanistan--should be fired immediately, along with the Secretary of State, whoever he or she is.  
Bremmer said the United States failed in four major ways in drawing down its military presence in Afghanistan: intelligence, coordination, planning and communication. He said the Biden administration overestimated the Afghan military's capabilities, failed to work with American allies to formulate an exit strategy, did not seem to have contingency plans in place for a rapid collapse of the Afghan government and failed to communicate effectively with the American people. (Ian Bremmer, Houston Chronical)
We can also blame Trump for brokering the deal with the Taliban, we can blame Obama for eight years of dithering. We can even throw some blame at the Dems for being too cowardly to act on their supposed anti-war convictions, and anyway, Democrats were the ones insisting on nation building and humanitarian projects there, that ended up handing corrupt Afghan politicians and the taliban tens of billions.

Ultimate blame lies with the idiot firebug who started this:  George W. Bush.  

Damn him and his puppet masters Cheney and Rumsfeld.  If there was any justice in this world, they would be put in stocks in the public square and every veteran, friend or family of a vet would line up and take turns kicking those bastards square in the ass.  How tragically and historically stupid they all are. The Russians carpet bombed and horribly brutalized Afghanistan, but they could not conquer it.  Instead, they escaped into Uzbekistan, buttoned down and bleeding, dragging their dead and wounded.  To this day, the Pashtuns remain undefeated.

We need a better government that employs a higher level of thinking.  A few billion in bribes annually and some small-footprint covert ops--dressed up as foreign assistance--would have saved the trillions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of lives destroyed.  

Our federal government is an amoral, intellectually bankrupt House of Lies:  

Gulf of Tonkin, Weapons of Mass Destruction, the CIA isn't spying on Congress, the US Government doesn't conduct domestic spying on US citizens, the situation in Afghanistan is improving...


We need a commission to investigate why so many lies were told and so much blood and treasure expended.  We need to hold accountable the liars, the criminals, and even the simply incompetent.  They all must be expelled from the government blob.

We also need a better class of generals.  Ones who will stand up to their political masters and call bullshit on outlandish schemes instead of twisting themselves in knots to justify the unjustifiable and dress it all up in squared-off military speak. 

Ultimately, this is our fault:  We The People continue to elect the venal, the cowardly, the corrupt, the stupid, and we don't pay attention to what they are doing with our money and our military.  We've had bigger freak-outs over avocado shortages than anything that has happened in Afghanistan in the last 10 years.

I'll close with a few quotes from an essay by Andrew A. Michta of the George C. Marshall Center...
As Afghanistan implodes, such flawed assumptions need to be fully owned by those who constructed and sustained this ideologically laden strategic framework.  We will be paying for their hubris for years to come, for going forward both our allies and partners will factor into their decision-making and their policy choices the lessons of the past twenty years.

As we watch authoritarianism surge worldwide, alongside a growing skepticism about American leadership, what happened in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and Syria should bring us back to the fundamentals of realist foreign and security policy. We need to re-learn the art of power-balancing, of building coalitions not around high-minded ideals but around shared interests and threat perceptions, all the while remembering that America’s military is a precious resource and that it must be the means of last resort, not the first tool in our foreign policy toolbox.

46 comments:

  1. Agreed.
    The reason the Taliban keep winning (eventually) is they're the ones who actually want Afghanistan. Doesn't matter how much more powerful the West or USSR may be, they'll always still be there when our enthusiasm fades.

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  2. One of my first engrained memories is of myself at four years old, sitting on my father's lap as he cried and watched the helicopter evacuation of Saigon on the news. He had lost so many friends to that pointless meatgrinder. Many of whom *didn't* volunteer for it.

    I've seen this Afghanistan failure coming since the worst President America will ever have, Donald Trump, winnowed out from his misadministration everyone from State, Defense, and the NSA that objected to his planned photo-op surrender to the Taliban that he wanted to nauseate us with at Camp David on September 11, 2020. Recall in the last days of the Trumpster fire that he wanted to remove our troops and trash our commitments everywhere on the planet.

    Damn Biden for being the fall guy, but he took over the chessboard from a guy that sacrifices a queen to take out a pawn and calls the imbecility "4D Chess."

    After such a shitshow, we don't know if Biden can handle a fresh chess game. But even more poignant, we don't know if we want to find out.

    So, the Taliban has Afghanistan and aren't far from taking nuclear-armed Pakistan, ISIS is thriving in Africa, China is swelling into the strategic vacuum left behind in the Pacific by Trump's Make America Irrelevant agenda, and traitors to the US Constitution sit in DC jails waiting to pay parking ticket fines.

    Your move, Biden.

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    1. The Taliban's sugar-daddy is still the Pak ISI.....the Pak's are over the moon that they'll now have leverage to force Indian interests out of Afghanistan. China likewise, as their 'belt and road' program will hit Afghanistan on steroids, and give them more access to the rare earth minerals found within.

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    2. The Taliban also ended up with billions of US funds.

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  3. The worst foreign-policy disaster of my lifetime.

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  4. Anyone who has read the SIGAR reports over the past 2 decades has likely uniformly come to the decision that our government should be perp walked out of D.C.

    We lost this war in 2002, and we have 4 POTUSs who can share the blame [though this inevitable end will only provide yet more fodder for partisans who's lives seem to revolve around party narratives].

    This end is long overdue.

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    1. CI: As you and I well know, the military is a very fact-based enterprise, especially when on the ground in places like Afghanistan or Iraq. You can't wish you hadn't read the map wrong, or that you forgot to pack a critical piece of equipment: You are stuck in reality with what you have, and you adapt.

      The DC blob is a fantasy-based enterprise, and that is what so damningly frustrated me -- along with everyone else -- over there. A cousin I grew up with was Army SF over there, many tours, and the stories he could tell... about this bureaucratic idiocy hobbling their missions.

      The US Army and all the soldiers who served over there should get some kind of American Gold Medal or something, because the heroics and tactical skills they employed in their struggle against the REMFs and the victories they won in spite of the blob and the REMFs, was an amazing and beautiful thing.

      Nobody dies in vain. We fought to give people a chance to fight for themselves, and that is always noble, regardless of how stupid and venal the politicians and bureaucratic class who lit the fire.

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    2. America's armed forced have become a subsidiary of the British East India Tea Company's mercantile army.

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    3. We fought to give people a chance to fight for themselves....

      At least that's what we told ourselves. What we ended up doing, was to fight an internal civil war on behalf of a corrupt entity that never controlled anything outside of the Ring Road, the inside of District Centers, and Kabul.

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    4. ...and why the Spartan and Macedonian hoplites could always kick Athenian asses (as they would always jump into their ships and run when the going got tough.) Agamemnon should have burned his ships the day they arrived at Troy.

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    5. US forces should have settled down for a permanent occupation of Afghanistan by encouraging their men to convert to Islam, take war brides (4x), and setting its' soldiers up as future "war lords" by exclusively supplying them with guns/ammo/arms.

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    6. This phrase “Burn The Ships” comes from a historic conquest of history when, in 1519, Spanish Conquistador Hernando Cortez landed in Mexico on the shores of the Yucatan, with only one objective…seize the great treasures known to be there, hoarded by the Aztecs. Cortez was committed to his mission and his quest for riches is legendary.

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    7. It's "why" the foreign fighters fight for al Qaeda and the Taliban.

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    8. All of Islam's "second+ sons" who won't inherit their father's fortune's must make their own as "foreign fighters".

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    9. Islam's not just a religion. It's an entire lifestyle.

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    10. Meanwhile, much like Aeneas, I have some Sabine women to go rape...

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    11. Joe,
      Islam's not just a religion. It's an entire lifestyle.

      About which I have been screeching since I first started blogging in 2005.

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    12. Indeed. Our "elites" know better though. They've been to an Afghani Restaurant in Georgetown....

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    13. :)

      Taliban (n.) Sunni fundamentalist movement begun in Afghanistan, Pashto plural of Arabic tālib "student;" so called because it originated among students in Pakistani religious schools. Group formed c. 1993. Often incorrectly treated as singular in English.

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    14. 4+ million Afghan refugees fled to Pakistan after the Soviet invasion and formed "The Taliban".

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  5. Those that do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it. Simple and to the point.
    This one is over the top. The so called Spokespeople will not even say the U.S. will be around after the 31st.

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  6. But that has nothing to do with what is happening today.

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  7. All fingers are pointing at various presidents, but there is plenty of blame to go around. There is Congress, which has always had the power to bring presidential foreign military adventurism to a halt and has never done so. And there is the American voter that have elected these presidents because they were popular or had skin that was the "color du jour."

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    1. Jayhawk,
      Yeah, Congress, too. As well as the American voter.

      Thanks for pointing that out.

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  8. I would like to ask our friends here to please silently step over the excrement. We clean it as soon as we find it.

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  9. TC... in regards to Saigon, my brother and all his best friends fought over there. Like you I remember the chaos of that withdrawal. But I learned more from a young woman I hired to work for me in the mid 1980's. An Amerasian, she recounted the horrors she, her sister and her formerly US army employed mom went through to get to safety.

    Running across a tarmac to us planes and helicopters, he shared her fear as they dodged the bullets from the machine guns meant to keep them off those rescue planes.

    After they had bribed their way onto the US in the first place.

    She, and her family never wavered in their love and support of the US for letting them come here.

    As I think of what is happening in Afghanistan I keep returning to those now Vietnamese American citizens. They love our country, in spite of our faults and screw up in their home country.

    In the chaos of Afghanistan, we already see media stars asking why we should even bother to save Afghanis and bring them here.

    I may be wrong, but I believe we have a duty to the people and their families who helped us over the last 20 years. We should resettle them all here. And at the end of the day, probably save their lives.

    They will ultimately make great, America loving citizens.

    It seems the least we can do.

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    1. Dave,

      One of my heroes is Ahmad Shah Massoud, who was assassinated in Afghanistan on September 10, 2001. He was a Northern Alliance leader there and one of America's only allies there.

      My hope is that we left behind many Ahmed Shah Massouds. Afghans who believe "If you are Taliban, we will kill you."

      Taking in refugees is fine with me, as long as not a damned one of them received US / NATO training only to drop their rifles and flee when the Taliban returned

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    2. TC said regarding refugees... "...as long as not a damned one of them received US / NATO training only to drop their rifles and flee when the Taliban returned".

      Agreed.

      Look, I am 100% sympathetic to the view that this is not a US problem, that the Afghanis have to mop up their own spilled milk.

      But in many cases, ppl risked and continue to do so, their lives to help and serve us.

      For those pushing abandoning these people, many of whom the US military pledged to protect, I would ask this...

      Don't we have a duty to get them out safely?

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    3. Dave, I am grappling with that question myself. They were helping us? We were supposed to be helping them.

      I watched the video of all those military aged men mobbing the airport and trying to latch on to that C-17. Why aren't they fighting the Taliban?

      Based on the evidence over the past 20 years, I have to conclude that Afghanis overwhelmingly support the Taliban way more than they do us. The Taliban are indigenous to Afghanistan, we are not. This was a fool's errand from the beginning.

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    4. I have a cynical prediction: whatever the total number of Afghans who were helping us is, I predict we will see at least five times that claiming that they had helped us so they can get to the West.

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    5. I concur with SF. In many cases, the interpreters assigned to combat elements, became as organic to those units and as much a part of the Brotherhood as anyone else in uniform [aside from the random shitbag terp, just as in any unit]. Those guys should be evacuated post haste.

      But, I am not in favor of risking American lives, to safe travel for the random support staff who received a paycheck from NATO/ISOF. They had little skin in the game and little risk, comparatively.

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    6. look, you guys know the specifics of the kinds of ppl who we should be concerned about. I get it, the guy who maybe stocked the Coke machine or handed out paychecks can probably fade back into Afghan society.

      But the Brotherhood/Those Guys guys, we need to deal with.

      Question... do we bring their immediate family too? My gut says yes, but again, I'm not a military guy.

      Thoughts??

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    7. And Silver... you may be correct on the number escalation. That doesn't mean those ppl won't, in the end, be good for the US though.

      But I get it.

      Let's get the high priority ppl first, then if we so desire, we can look at others...

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    8. Question... do we bring their immediate family too?

      To the greatest extent possible, yes. Speaking at least from the Army perspective [and I wager that it's the same for the sister branches], we have a motto: "Mission First, People Always". If we're serious about the safeguarding of our Afghan Brothers [the aforementioned criteria], it's critical that we look after the safety of their family as well, as best we can at least].

      The enemy, logistics and other factors all get a vote....but we should try.

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    9. SF also brings up a salient point [Why aren't they fighting the Taliban?] that I've employed with regard to the military aged male Syrian refugees. If you're not going to fight for your own country/tribe/clan....you certainly can't be trusted to fight for ours.

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    10. Dave and CI, great discussion. Dave: I heartily concur with your opinion of Vietnamese people. They have made us a better nation by joining us.

      I have no doubt good Afghans would do the same, but I know how crappy our government is at screening, paperwork, etc, so I fear some very bad people will slip in as well.

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    11. One of my best friends in high school was a Vietnam War refugee. Without him, and his mother, I would have never learned pho ga (Vietnamese chicken with egg noodle soup) is the best breakfast on the planet

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  10. And Silver, TC and CI... thanks for being sane in the middle of a lot of craziness on this.

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    1. Truth and reason deserves to rise above political narrative.....

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    2. Amen to you both. Truth and reason are impervious to ideology.

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  11. thanks for being sane in the middle of a lot of craziness on this

    So, bad time to recall that Biden is tough enough to take on Corn Pop and his gang?

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